This is a really interesting player. Acquiring and retaining confidence seems to be the key for him. He was a much more critical player than Josh Green on the Australian Olympic team. I am really curious how this season will turn out for him. When he is right he can be a really nice addition to the team. Hopefully that's this year. The injuries (or lack of!) will certainly be a factor in his future here in Dallas.
I think he'll get a chance to prove he learned from last year's playoffs. But with Dinwiddie back, there will be more pressure to show signs of that earlier in the season.
+13.8% better on 3s than expected a bunkers stat! it means shooting 35.3% instead of 49.1% on 3s for the season.
given how open his shots were (as noted, it's not like he likes shooting covered like some of the other mavs gunners), that only makes sense if his previous 3pt shooting (30.4%) was used as the baseline/prior in modelling the expected 3pt shooting. i'd imagine e3pt% uses the individual player's previous shooting prowess (the other alternative, that of an average shooter, makes less sense). that's obviously a flawed approach in his case as, as you noted, he's got 250+ 3-pointers up in europe.
anyway, i'd think he should be about 40% or so given how open he takes those 3s and how well he took them the last few seasons. as you wrote, his problem is rather not taking those semi-contested where he's rather drive (and where the drive is also not the best option as the opponent hasn't committed and there is little advantage).
This is a really interesting player. Acquiring and retaining confidence seems to be the key for him. He was a much more critical player than Josh Green on the Australian Olympic team. I am really curious how this season will turn out for him. When he is right he can be a really nice addition to the team. Hopefully that's this year. The injuries (or lack of!) will certainly be a factor in his future here in Dallas.
Do you think they may try to use him a lot in the regular season knowing he may not end up with a playoff role?
I think he'll get a chance to prove he learned from last year's playoffs. But with Dinwiddie back, there will be more pressure to show signs of that earlier in the season.
+13.8% better on 3s than expected a bunkers stat! it means shooting 35.3% instead of 49.1% on 3s for the season.
given how open his shots were (as noted, it's not like he likes shooting covered like some of the other mavs gunners), that only makes sense if his previous 3pt shooting (30.4%) was used as the baseline/prior in modelling the expected 3pt shooting. i'd imagine e3pt% uses the individual player's previous shooting prowess (the other alternative, that of an average shooter, makes less sense). that's obviously a flawed approach in his case as, as you noted, he's got 250+ 3-pointers up in europe.
anyway, i'd think he should be about 40% or so given how open he takes those 3s and how well he took them the last few seasons. as you wrote, his problem is rather not taking those semi-contested where he's rather drive (and where the drive is also not the best option as the opponent hasn't committed and there is little advantage).